
Something Missing in the VIX?
Posted by Brett Pattison on July 14, 2008 4:29 PM
Option traders rely on the VIX for a number of reasons. One of those reasons is to help them spot tops and bottoms in the market. When the market hits a bottom, the VIX is usually trading at an extreme. For example, on March 17th the VIX blew through 33 while the SPX found a bottom at 1275. On January 22nd the VIX blew through 33 again while the SPX again found a bottom at 1275. In both examples the market began to rally afterward.
So what is missing now? The market continues to head downward while the VIX trades around 23. Don't get me wrong, a 23 VIX does allow you to sell some pretty good premium which is what we like to do, but if you're trying to time the bottom, a blow off in the VIX sure would help in doing just that.
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