Something Missing in the VIX?

Posted by Brett Pattison on July 14, 2008 4:29 PM

Option traders rely on the VIX for a number of reasons. One of those reasons is to help them spot tops and bottoms in the market. When the market hits a bottom, the VIX is usually trading at an extreme. For example, on March 17th the VIX blew through 33 while the SPX found a bottom at 1275. On January 22nd the VIX blew through 33 again while the SPX again found a bottom at 1275. In both examples the market began to rally afterward.

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So what is missing now? The market continues to head downward while the VIX trades around 23. Don't get me wrong, a 23 VIX does allow you to sell some pretty good premium which is what we like to do, but if you're trying to time the bottom, a blow off in the VIX sure would help in doing just that.
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